Berkshire Hathaway chief Warren Buffett has opened a commanding lead in his wager with fund of hedge funds Protégé Partners.
Six years ago, Buffett and Protégé's Ted Seides made a $1 million bet, with Buffett predicting that the Standard & Poor's 500 Index would outperform hedge funds over a 10-year period, and Seides taking the opposite view. Well, six years later, Buffett's S&P index fund, Vanguard Admiral shares, is up 43.8%, against an estimated 12.5% for the five hedge funds picked by Seides.
The winner gets to choose the charity that gets the $1 million, which has actually grown to nearly $1.3 million since the money was invested in Berkshire stock.
Buffett's Admiral shares returned 32.3% last year, while Protégé's hedge funds gained just 11.8%.
"We've got our work cut out for us," Seides said. If anything, though, Buffett's success should give him hope: In the bet's first year, 2008, Admiral shares dropped 37% against the hedge funds' 24% decline. Buffett only took the lead in the race in 2012.